Political fate that awaits Malaysia will mirror India on mini scale

Listen to soft instrumental music before bed, for 15 to 20 minutes, to calm the emotions and have a restful night . . .

[31/05, 02:00] SL:

Joe, tell ur frens like JK, Anwar WILL be PM9 soon!!

[31/05, 02:06] JF:

How?

https://www.malaysiakini.com/news/527857

The only predictable property of the universe is chaos.

There can be no New Order without chaos. Already, the novel Corona virus pandemic has introduced the New Norm.

The political fate that awaits Malaysia will mirror India but on a mini scale. It’s all about karmic forces.

India is a dysfunctional democracy, albeit the largest, and the greatest functioning anarchy in the history of the world.

On the plus side, there’s political stability in India as the country has an anti-hop system in place passed by Parliament and upheld by the supreme court.

Malaysia lacks that feature. The anti-hop law in Sabah was over turned by the court on the grounds that “an inferior law is null and void to the extent of its inconsistency with a superior law”.

Penang may have a similar law as that in Sabah but speaks of defecting from a party symbol under which a lawmaker was elected. In GE14, PH lawmakers were elected under the PKR symbol, although being from different parties. The PH symbol was not registered in time for GE14.

The anti-hop system in India accomodates party splits — at least one third of a party must split — to be recognised as complying with the freedom of association enshrined in the Constitution.

Individual frogs can’t claim freedom of association. They would lose their seats and pave the way for by-elections.

Unlike in Malaysia, lawmakers in India would not be barred from re-contesting if they resign their seats. This is the only way that “frogs” in India can vindicate themselves on their defections.

Also, unlike Malaysia, a genuine frog culture does not exist in India. Heads of state — the President and Governors — remain above the fray. They will not look at frogs armed with SDs.

No group in Malaysia will get simple majority, 112 seats, in Parliament come GE15.

The politics of Malaya is split down the middle with the death of the BN system. Indians and Chinese would no longer vote for race-based parties. Bersatu was an aberration in PH which survived GE14 under the PKR symbol.

The Opposition in Malaya will take on the ruling party/coalition one to one. Having said that, Umno will not share seats with Bersatu.

Which symbol will the ruling party/coalition in Putrajaya use? The unregistered Perikatan Nasional (PN) is likely to stay unregistered, suffer premature death.

Sabah and Sarawak, with 57 MP seats, is a big unknown. What is certain about Sarawak is that PBB roots for ketuanism under GPS, a mini version of BN, and pays lip service on the Malaysia Agreement 1963 (MA63).

Sabah and Sarawak are not on the same page on MA63.

If Pesaka collapses and implodes, PBB will suffer a similar fate. The Orang Asal, the Dayak, hold the fate of the treacherous Pesaka in their hands.

The question that arises is whether the Opposition in Sarawak will take on the ruling party/coalition one to one in GE15.

The Opposition in Sabah will take on the ruling party/coalition one to one. The Opposition is part of the ruling party/coalition in Putrajaya.

However, it’s not enough for the Opposition in Sabah to share seats. GE14 proved that any coalition of parties must contest under a common symbol, preferably under the symbol of one of the parties in a coalition, not necessarily the coalition symbol.

Read further here . . .

https://fernzthegreat.wordpress.com/2020/05/29/baru-bian-as-3rd-force-in-parliament-helps-make-difference-for-the-better-jeffrey-kitingan-should-join-him/

The 57 Sabah and Sarawak MPs should not get involved in the politics of Malaya, should not take sides.

https://fernzthegreat.wordpress.com/2020/05/28/if-i-was-agong-i-will-advise-mahathir-to-get-help-mischief-making-must-end/

PKR was formed because Anwar Ibrahim decided that Mahathir can no longer be allowed to get away with anything.

https://fernzthegreat.wordpress.com/2020/05/22/jeffrey-kitingan-can-bring-mahathir-back-as-pm-backed-by-two-other-sabah-mps-from-pbs-and-pbrs/

Anyone who is PM will be able to get gov’t Bills passed in Parliament.

Author: fernzthegreat

Joe Fernandez holds a honours degree in management, majoring in economics, and has opted from academia in law to being a jurist. He was trained professionally on the job as a journalist. He's a longtime Borneo watcher, keen on the history and legal aspects of Malaya's presence in Sabah and Sarawak. He teaches the English language privately and has emerged as a subject matter expert in public examination techniques.

7 thoughts on “Political fate that awaits Malaysia will mirror India on mini scale”

  1. MAHATHIR CLOSES IN ON MUHYIDDIN – HIS MEN START TO SHOW THEIR FACES: SRI GADING MP, TOUTED TO BE AMONG 2 BERSATU LAWMAKERS READY TO QUIT TO TRIGGER HUNG PARLIAMENT & FORCE NO-CONFIDENCE VOTE, ATTENDS MEETING BY DR M LOYALISTS AT BERSATU HQ https://t.co/PAZcQd18Md

    Don’t believe anything that MahaTHIEF says. He’s in cahoots with backdoor Muhyiddin. It’s a sandiwara that’s going on. PH should keep away from MahaTHIEF. DAP should not be STUPID again. It was LKS that persuaded Anwar & family to forgive MahaTHIEF and accept him again for GE14.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. https://www.thestar.com.my/opinion/columnists/its-just-politics/2020/05/31/its-a-numbers-game-in-sabah

    Points missing from the above story . . .

    PN is an unregistered coalition. It’s unlikely to last for GE15 if there’s no seat sharing and it’s not registered. Umno is against registering PN.

    Umno is also against sharing seats with Bersatu. It has already said the PN gov’t is only until GE15.

    Mahathir has pledged to sack Muhyiddin from Bersatu. Court cases loom.

    The state assembly can Invoke Article VIII of MA63 for a new form of self-determination.

    Having said that, the Federal Court should restore the sanctity of the Sabah Constitution. The Definition of majority refers. Minority gov’t is lawful.

    The Governor should remain above the fray.

    The Speaker can decide the fate of any no confidence Motion.

    The CM would be able to get gov’t Bills passed in the state assembly. If Bills are not passed, they can be withdrawn or amended.

    The most important Bill is the Budget.

    The 7/11 ruling . . .

    The salah erti or tafsir of the head of state is just Opinion.

    Opinion is not law.

    Only the court can declare law.

    The head of state should remain above the fray or risk public perceptions seeing that there has been party to illegalities which brings the office into odium, ridicule, contempt and public disrepute.

    Once the head of gov’t has been sworn in, based on the SPR list, thereafter minority gov’t remains lawful.

    The Definition of majority in the Sabah Constitution does not exclude minority gov’t based on the SPR list, does not necessarily mean simple majority.

    It’s all about the symbol with the most seats in the Dewan.

    The Definition of majority in the Sabah Constitution is not the definition in the dictionary. It’s based on the symbol with the largest number of seats in the Dewan.

    The judge, in the 7/11 ruling, erred in law to refer to the dictionary for the Definition of majority. The dictionary is not about symbols registered with the EC.

    The dictionary is not superior to the Sabah Constitution.

    Once the head of gov’t has been sworn in, based on the SPR list, coalition gov’t can follow.

    BN, although a coalition of parties, is about one symbol. It was an error in law for the judge to say that a post-election coalition of W/DAP/PKR/Upko is the same as BN.

    Liked by 1 person

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